ODIODI · 19 Jul 2026 · New Zealand tour of West Indies, 2026
New ZealandvWIWest Indies
shaded band = too-close-to-call zone (44% to 56%)
Elo, our prediction engine · pre-toss model v1.0-20260709-odi-k96-pretoss, generated 17 Jul 2026. For entertainment and analysis; past performance does not guarantee outcomes.
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Elo's take
The model makes a rigorous call: New Zealand at 64%. Ball-by-ball simulations project New Zealand around 286 (likely range 170 to 345) and West Indies around 291 (179 to 358) batting first. Key matchup: AS Joseph has removed DJ Mitchell 2 times in 37 balls while conceding 15 (SR 41). Form: New Zealand won 3 of their last 5; West Indies won 3 of their last 5. DJ Mitchell leads the fantasy board (projected 131 points, ceiling 251). Differential watch: G Motie carries a 70% shot at a 50+ point game.
Number crunching
- New Zealand lead the last 10 meetings 8-2.
- New Zealand have won 2 of their last 5; West Indies have won 1 of their last 5.
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